FW: Exit Poll Results in South Carolin a GOP Primary

Yone Sugita (sugita@post01.osaka-gaidai.ac.jp)
Tue, 5 Mar 1996 08:25:30 JST

Subject: Exit Poll Results in SC GOP Primary

Responses To S.C. Exit Poll From wire service reports 3/3/96
---
Shown are results for the top four
GOP candidates (who received 98% of total vote):
ALEXander BCHN=Buchanan, Dole, Forbes

VOTE CHOICE
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORBES
ALL RESPONDNTS 11 30 45 12

MALE 53 10 32 42 13
FEMALE 47 12 27 47 11
AGE
18-29 9 21 25 40 12
30-44 31 13 31 39 13
45-59 28 9 32 42 13
60+ 33 6 29 54 10
18-64 77 12 31 41 13
65+ 23 7 26 58 10

INCOME
LESS15K 6 10 40 40 8
15-30K 16 15 29 46 7
30-50K 30 10 31 42 14
50-75K 26 11 29 45 11
75-100K 12 11 26 49 14

ISSUE(1)INFLUENCING VOTE
ENVIRONMNT 1
FORTRADE 8 8 59 30 2
TAXES 21 12 14 34 39
EDUCATION 5 34 29 31 3
ECON/JOBS 21 12 32 48 7
DEFICIT 20 4 12 80 3
ABORTION 13 7 64 16 3

QUALITY(1)INFLUENCING VOTE
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORBES
VISION 9 17 23 22 35
STANDSUP 26 7 66 20 5
BEATCLIN 17 9 8 80 3
CONSERV VALUES18 9 35 43 6
NOTCAREERPOL 6 7 13 2 76
EXPERINWASH 12 0 2 97 0
NOT TOO EXTRM 8 42 7 39 9

DOLE BEAT CLINTON?
YES 61 7 21 62 8
NO 24 21 37 19 20

FORBES BEAT CLINTON?
YES 24 8 26 26 37
NO 52 14 29 49 5

MESSAGE AGNST NEG AD
VERYIMP 33 14 33 42 9
SOMEWHAT 29 11 28 46 14
NOTTOOIMP 19 9 28 48 13
NOTATALL 16 7 30 43 15

US TRADE W/COUNTRIES
CREATE JOB 49 13 19 51 14
LOSES JOBS 38 8 46 35 9
NO EFFECT 9 9 24 52 10

NATION'S PROBLEMS?
ECONOMIC 29 16 20 48 16
MORAL 67 9 34 43 10

STANDARD OF LIVING?
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB
WILL RISE 51 11 22 53 12
WILL FALL 44 10 39 35 12

CAN ALEXANDER BEAT CLINTON?
YES 22 31 23 28 14
NO 53 6 30 48 12

CAN BUCHANAN BEAT CLINTON?
YES 34 5 69 17 6
NO 46 16 9 56 16

OPINION OF RELIGIOUS RIGHT
FAVORBLE 59 7 40 41 9
NOTFAVOR 34 17 14 49 18

SHOULD GOP PLATFORM BAN ABORTN?
YES 44 5 45 39 6
NO 53 16 17 49 17

PLANNED SUPPORT DOLE
YES 60 7 21 64 6
NO 37 16 44 13 23

DOLE'S AGE AS PRES?
HELP HIM 9 7 16 70 4
HURT HIM 24 18 41 21 18
NO DIFF 64 8 28 51 11

IS BUCHANAN TOO EXTREME?
YES 51 17 6 61 14
NO 47 5 56 27 9

WHEN DID YOU DECIDE HOW TO VOTE
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORBES
TODAY 17 20 23 41 12
LAST 3 DAY 14 15 35 30 15
LAST WEEK 24 11 38 36 13
EARLY YEAR 31 6 29 51 11
BEFORE 13 4 19 68 7

APPROVE CURRENT CANDIDATES?
OK CANDS 52 6 32 48 10
WANT OTHR 44 16 25 42 14

WHO WAS YOUR SECOND CHOICE?
ALEX 26 4 17 64 13
BUCH 19 7 23 53 12
DOLE 28 17 43 24 12
FORB 19 15 33 39 10

APPROVE RELIGIOUS RIGHT?
YES 37 6 44 40 6
NO 61 14 21 48 16
YOU POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
VERY LIBERAL 2 - - - - [- = too few cases]
SOMEWHAT LIBERL 6 21 25 39 11
MODERATE 25 17 17 49 15
SOME CONSERV 41 9 27 50 12
VERY CONSERV 25 5 47 35 9

PARTY ID
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB
DEM 5 28 31 23 14
REP 69 8 29 51 10
IND/OTH 26 16 31 33 17

1992 VOTE
CLINTON 10 24 36 25 13
BUSH 76 9 28 51 10
PEROT 9 14 36 29 19
OTHER 1
NOVOTE 3

EDUCATION
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB
NOHS 5 8 46 34 7
HSGRAD 20 8 33 50 8
SOMECOL 25 7 33 46 12
COLGRAD 28 14 25 45 14
POSTGRAD 22 14 27 39 14

COLLEGE EDUCATION
NOTCOMPLETE 50 8 34 46 10
COMPLETED 50 14 26 42 14

RELIGION
ALL ALEX BCHN DOLE FORBES
PROTESTANT 67 11 28 47 11
CATHOLIC 11 14 31 41 13
OTHERCHRIST 14 8 38 35 14
JEWISH 1 -- -- -- -- [TOO FEW CASES]
ELSE 3
NONE 2

------------------------------------------------------
Unofficial returns in South Caro-
lina's GOP presidential primary:

(1,965 of 1,966 precincts - 99%)

x-Bob Dole, 124,658 - 45%
Pat Buchanan, 81,526 - 29%
Steven Forbes, 35,429 - 13%
Lamar Alexander, 29,199 - 10%
Alan Keyes, 5,787 - 2%
Richard Lugar, 1,024 - 0%
Phil Gramm, 466 - 0%
Morry Taylor, 95 - 0%

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(Editor's Note)
I wonder if non-Americans can understand the importance of
primaries. What is the purpose of holding primaries?
In Japan, we do not have primaries. Which is the better system,
US presidential system or Japanese/British parliamentary system?
How long does the primaries last? How much does it cost to
win nomination and win the presidential election?
Basic question: What are the primaries???
Can anybody explain?