The Political Economy of Opinion

Mark Schmeller
University of Chicago

Even the most avid rational-choice economist will admit that estimates of "value" often take a variety of intangible perceptions and concerns -- credit, confidence, faith, local esteem, reputation, and opinion -- into account.  And historians have given us good reasons to suspect that such "social currencies" had a particularly strong purchasing power in the antebellum market.  This paper builds upon these insights, but sends them in a different direction: if credit, confidence, faith, esteem, reputation, and opinion were so essential to the estimation of worth, what can the estimation of worth tell us about the ways in which "public opinion" was estimated?  Can antebellum political-economic theory be read as a species of public opinion theory?  Did different visions of economic development coincide with divergent conceptions of public opinion? Long before the advent of randomly sampled opinion polls and focus groups, what might the fluctuating value of a banknote or a government debt certificate have told Americans about the state of public opinion?  This paper offers a brief introduction to this "political economy of opinion."  I will show how the expanding use of paper money and credit, the development of banking, and the financing of public debts generated a growing awareness of the force of public opinion.  Specifically, I will read the arguments surrounding Alexander Hamilton's system of public finance as arguments about the desired role, function, and power of public opinion in American politics and society.